Colorado Mesa 
W-L: (13- 3) PR = 96.5386
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
215 N Concordia-Irvine RMAC ( 8- 7, 94.3) 13- 8
217 A Dominican (CA) RMAC ( 2-10, 90.1) 16- 5
223 A William Jewell GLVC ( 2-12, 87.7) 12- 3
225 A Rockhurst GLVC ( 8- 6, 94.1) 18- 8
315 A Florida Southern SSC ( 3-11, 94.3) 8-15
318 A Florida Tech SSC ( 6-10, 93.9) 9-10
320 A St Leo SSC ( 9- 7, 94.9) 21-14
328 H Concordia-Irvine RMAC ( 8- 7, 94.3) 8- 7
403 H Adams State RMAC ( 0- 8, 84.4) 22- 5
406 A Westminster (UT) RMAC ( 7- 7, 93.4) 13-11
409 A Adams State RMAC ( 0- 8, 84.4) 21- 6
412 H Dominican (CA) RMAC ( 2-10, 90.1) 22-10
419 H Westminster (UT) RMAC ( 7- 7, 93.4) 9-10
424 H Dominican (CA) RMAC ( 2-10, 90.1) 22- 7
426 H Concordia-Irvine RMAC ( 8- 7, 94.3) 15- 6
502 A Flagler PBC (14- 3, 96.5) 18-14
507 A Tampa SSC (18- 0, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 N Concordia-Irvine 13- 8 5 2 + 2.79
217 A Dominican (CA) 16- 5 11 6 0.00
223 A William Jewell 12- 3 9 8 0.00
225 A Rockhurst 18- 8 10 2 + 3.25
315 A Florida Southern 8-15 -7 2 --- -6.62
318 A Florida Tech 9-10 -1 2 - -3.01
320 A St Leo 21-14 7 1 + 3.99
328 H Concordia-Irvine 8- 7 1 3 -1.85
403 H Adams State 22- 5 17 13 0.00
406 A Westminster (UT) 13-11 2 2 -0.49
409 A Adams State 21- 6 15 12 0.00
412 H Dominican (CA) 22-10 12 7 0.00
419 H Westminster (UT) 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.78
424 H Dominican (CA) 22- 7 15 7 0.00
426 H Concordia-Irvine 15- 6 9 3 + 2.15
502 A Flagler 18-14 4 -1 ++ 4.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
315 A Florida Southern 8-15 -7 2 --- -6.62
419 H Westminster (UT) 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.78
318 A Florida Tech 9-10 -1 2 - -3.01
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A Flagler 18-14 4 -1 ++ 4.59
215 N Concordia-Irvine 13- 8 5 2 + 2.79
225 A Rockhurst 18- 8 10 2 + 3.25
320 A St Leo 21-14 7 1 + 3.99
426 H Concordia-Irvine 15- 6 9 3 + 2.15
|
Colorado Mesa Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adams State |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Colorado Mesa |
|
Colorado Mesa   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
American International |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Assumption |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Barton |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Belmont Abbey |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Colorado Mesa |
Bentley |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Bridgeport |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Caldwell |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Catawba |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Chestnut Hill |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Chowan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Coker |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Concordia-Irvine |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
D'Youville |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Davenport |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Davis & Elkins |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
District of Columbia |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Dominican (CA) |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Dominican (NY) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Embry-Riddle |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Emory & Henry |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Felician |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Flagler |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
|
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
 
|
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
 
| |
Franklin Pierce |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Frostburg State |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Georgian Court |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Holy Family |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Indianapolis |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lake Erie |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Lander |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lees-McRae |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Lynn |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) |
Colorado Mesa |
Malone |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Mars Hill |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Maryville |
Mercy |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Colorado Mesa |
Molloy |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Montevallo |
Colorado Mesa |
|
Colorado Mesa   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Mount Olive |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Newberry |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
North Greenville |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Northwood |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Pace |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
Colorado Mesa |
Post |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Quincy |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Rockhurst |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Rollins |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
 
| Seton Hill |
Shorter |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Southern New Hampshire |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   6- 0 vs 4- 2 |
|
Thomas More |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tiffin |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Tusculum |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Virginia State |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Walsh |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Westminster (UT) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
Colorado Mesa   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Wheeling |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
William Jewell |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
 
| |
Wilmington (DE) |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
Wingate   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Young Harris |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
PowerWise = 67

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 N Concordia-Irvi ( 8- 7, 94.3) 13- 8 -5.57 19.52 -0.00 0.91 17.83
0 A Dominican (CA) ( 2-10, 90.1) 16- 5 -9.83 15.27 0.64 0.91 14.53
0 A William Jewell ( 2-12, 87.7) 12- 3 -12.19 12.91 0.64 0.91 12.37
0 A Rockhurst ( 8- 6, 94.1) 18- 8 -5.76 19.34 0.64 0.91 18.25
0 A Florida Southe ( 3-11, 94.3) 8-15 -5.62 19.47 0.64 0.91 -4.55
0 A Florida Tech ( 6-10, 93.9) 9-10 -6.02 19.08 0.64 0.91 -4.90
0 A St Leo ( 9- 7, 94.9) 21-14 -5.02 20.08 0.64 0.91 18.92
0 H Concordia-Irvi ( 8- 7, 94.3) 8- 7 -5.57 19.52 -0.64 0.91 17.24
0 H Adams State ( 0- 8, 84.4) 22- 5 -15.51 9.58 -0.64 0.91 8.16
0 A Westminster (U ( 7- 7, 93.4) 13-11 -6.50 18.60 0.64 0.91 17.57
0 A Adams State ( 0- 8, 84.4) 21- 6 -15.51 9.58 0.64 0.91 9.34
0 H Dominican (CA) ( 2-10, 90.1) 22-10 -9.83 15.27 -0.64 0.91 13.35
0 H Westminster (U ( 7- 7, 93.4) 9-10 -6.50 18.60 -0.64 0.91 -6.52
0 H Dominican (CA) ( 2-10, 90.1) 22- 7 -9.83 15.27 -0.64 0.91 13.35
0 H Concordia-Irvi ( 8- 7, 94.3) 15- 6 -5.57 19.52 -0.64 0.91 17.24
0 A Flagler (14- 3, 96.5) 18-14 -3.41 21.68 0.64 0.91 20.38
------
182.54
|
winning pts = 198.5134 losing points = -15.9690
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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